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    Sequential diagnosis with language models

    Editor’s summary : AI applications for clinical medicine continue to advance but often rely on written vignettes. Unfortunately, these are not a realistic representation of clinical medicine, where patients do not come in with a tidy write-up of key symptoms and pertinent laboratory findings. To address this issue, Nori et al. made their AI system start from the patient’s chief complaint and decide what follow-up questions to ask and what testing to order to collect the information needed for a diagnosis. In multiple test settings, this system achieved higher accuracy than human responders and at a lower total cost, demonstrating its potential as a tool to assist physicians. —Yevgeniya Nusinovich

    Abstract
    We explored the capabilities of frontier language models in sequential diagnosis, a diagnostic paradigm that captures the iterative nature of clinical reasoning. Given a brief clinical presentation, clinicians selectively acquired information to reach a diagnosis, enabling assessment of diagnostic accuracy and workup cost. We developed an interactive benchmark and an artificial intelligence (AI) system that simulates a panel of physicians, continually revising the differential diagnosis and selecting cost-effective tests. Using this benchmark, the system achieved 83.2% accuracy on New England Journal of Medicine clinicopathological conference cases and 80.3% on MIMIC-IV-ED emergency department admissions, outperforming generalist physicians (36.1 and 46.8%, respectively). Although these findings were obtained in a controlled benchmark setting, they highlight the promise of language models for supporting more accurate, lower-cost diagnoses.


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